Modeling the principles of sustainable development of metallurgical enterprises based on the theory of fuzzy cognitive maps
Abstract. The article presents a methodology for assessing the strategic potential of metallurgical enterprises in the context of sustainable development based on the theory of fuzzy cognitive maps. The proposed approach allows to model the interrelationships between the key principles of sustainable development: environmental responsibility, innovation and technological upgrade, and social responsibility. The scenario modeling was carried out under various initial conditions, simulating moderate development, an innovative focus and an environmental crisis. The findings of the study demonstrate a high degree of self-organization and mutual reinforcement of the principles of sustainable development, regardless of the initial conditions, which indicates systemic stability of these components in the structure of strategic potential. The proposed techniques allow metallurgical enterprises to form effective development strategies under conditions of increasing environmental challenges and structural changes in the industry.
Keywords: strategic potential, sustainable development, metallurgical complex, fuzzy cognitive maps, environmental responsibility, social responsibility, innovation, scenario modeling, strategic planning, ESG standards.
Highlights:
- the use of fuzzy cognitive maps allows for effective modeling of the relationships between environmental responsibility, innovation, technological upgrade and social responsibility of metallurgical enterprises;
- three scenarios (moderate development, innovative emphasis, environmental crisis) showed a high degree of self-organization and mutual reinforcement of the principles of sustainable development;
- all the principles of sustainable development (environmental and social responsibility, innovation) demonstrate strong positive feedback and self-activation, regardless of the initial conditions;
- the methodology based on cognitive maps helps metallurgical enterprises shape effective strategies under conditions of environmental and structural challenges.
Leonid D. Savenkov - Togliatti State University, Togliatti, Russia