Agro-industrial complex of the Russian semi-exclave in the Baltic: economic stability of the complex and development prospects
Abstract. Factor analysis of the existing system of economic relations in the agro-industrial complex, ensuring state interests in food security, vital interests of people, analysis of economic activity of agricultural producers and their needs determine the relevance of research into the regional economy, which operates on the territory of the Russian semi-exclave. The purpose of this study is to assess the state of the Kaliningrad agro-industrial complex, the impact of the most significant negative factors on it in the dynamically changing conditions of the market situation. Based on the grouping of market and non-market factors, detailing the identified economic threats and extrapolation of their action, a forecast of the development of the situation in the agro-industrial complex for the short term was made, proposals in the field of state economic policy were developed. The identified problems and challenges for the local agro-industrial complex are shown. A short-term forecast of the development of the situation is proposed, taking into account the current factors and developing economic threats.
Keywords: agro-industrial complex, crop production, regional economy, deterministic factor analysis.
Highlights:
- overthe past 10 years, the role and importance of the agro-industrial complex in the economy of Russia and its regions have increased;
- the Kaliningrad Region is a unique Russian semi-exclave, whose agro-industrial complex was more closely linked to foreign markets before the introduction of anti-Russian sanctions in 2022;
- sustainable agriculture has developed in the region, guaranteeing self-sufficiency in most basic food products;
- a number of interrelated market and non-market factors generate economic threats to business entities in the agro-industrial complex, affecting the prospects for economic development; neutralization of threats requires changes in economic policy.
Sergey M. Ezheliy - Institute of Industrial Economics and Management of Kaliningrad State Technical University, Kaliningrad, Russia