Assessment of the sustainability of the functioning and development of the thermal power complex of the Russian Federation
Abstract. The article analyzes the sustainability of the operation and development of the heat and power complex of Russia. The analysis of the structure of heat production by fuel types, the length of sections of main heating networks, the dynamics of the specific consumption of fuel and energy resources, the dynamics of the installed capacity utilization factor, the length and share of heating and steam networks in need of replacement is carried out. Based on the analysis, it was revealed that about 50% of heating main networks in 2022 had been in operation for 30 years or more. It was found that over 30% of all heating networks need to be replaced. It was determined that the production capacities of thermal power plants and boiler houses are loaded in the average annual period by no more than 25%, which indicates the impossibility of fully using the installed capacity and thereby ensuring the necessary revenue from the sale of heat and steam. The relationship between challenges, trends and patterns in the heat and power complex of the Russian Federation is presented. Scientific and practical recommendations are given that allow for the implementation of systemic changes in thermal power engineering during the period of absence of large financial receipts in order to achieve sustainable operation and development.
Keywords: heat and power complex, heat supply, sustainability, development, technical condition, heating networks, challenges, trends, patterns.
Highlights:
- asa result of the analysis, a trend of decreasing stability of the thermal power complex functioning was revealed, expressed in the obsolescence of heating networks, increased fuel consumption in the framework of boiler production, a decrease in the coefficient of use of the installed capacity and an increase in the volume of heating and steam networks requiring replacement;
- based on the identified factors negatively affecting the thermal power complex, the relationship between the challenges, trends and patterns of the thermal power complex is presented;
- scientific and practical recommendations are proposed that allow for the implementation of systemic changes in thermal power engineering during the period of absence of large financial receipts in order to achieve stability of functioning and development.
Arthur A. Gibadullin - National Research University "Moscow Power Engineering Institute", Moscow, Russia, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia