Economic development of the Siberian Federal District regions in modern conditions
Abstract. The article investigates the key factors of destabilization and conditions for the development of the economy of the regions of the Siberian Federal District based on annual data for the period 2014-2022. An analysis of the main directions, the level and the rate of changes in economic indicators of the regions is carried out in the study. The influence of demography and migration, sanctions restrictions and investments, government support measures and shifts in the scope of their application to stabilize the economic development of the regions of the Siberian Federal District is considered. The authors highlight them as the most important factors in the development of regions in modern conditions. Seven indicators of the level of development and three indicators of the dynamics of regional development are proposed. Based on them, clusters were determined by the level and dynamics of regional development usingthe k-means method. The change in the quality and composition of clusters over the analyzed period is shown. The study revealed the specificity of the crises of recent years, showed common specific features and differences in the passage of crisis periods by regions, depending on their industry specialization and the availability of investments. In general, the pace of development of industrialized regions turned out to be less than that of moderately and underdeveloped regions. The results obtained can be useful to regional authorities in assessing causes of the current state and forecasting target indicators for the economic development of territories.
Keywords: economic indicators of the region, factors of economic development, rate and level of economic growth, sanctions and countermeasures, adaptation of the regional economy.
Highlights:
- the crises of recent years are specific, and the processes of adaptation of the Russian economy to them were difficult to predict;
- external negative factors had a greater impact on the development of the Russian regions than the existing internal potential, which required government intervention to stabilize the economy and the social sphere;
- state defense orders and the practice of import substitution did not affect the process of development of regions with industrial specialization, and the nature of regional development did not change.
Valery V. Karpov - Omsk Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Omsk, Russia; Anna A. Korableva - Omsk Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Omsk State Technical University, Omsk, Russia; Anna G. Breusova - Omsk Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Dostoevsky Omsk State University, Omsk, Russia