Emerging trends in socio-economic development for economic entities (using the example of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation)
Abstract As you know, any concept contains the future tense, in addition, strategies, programs and projects for the development of the northern territories require the full involvement of all economic entities in their implementation. In the implementation of the development strategies of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, the stumbling block was not only the issue of resource allocation between economic entities, but also the problem of specialization of their functions and differences in their interests, which did not allow them to achieve their goals in the end. The purpose of this study is to achieve the desired socio-economic result using foresight tools on the example of the Russian Arctic. The research methods are presented within the framework of socio-economic foresight. Methods of studying weak signals of emerging trends and possible jokers are used. It is assumed that the emerging new model of relations between economic entities such as the state, business and the family, aimed at joiningforces, working in a group, will overcome the above barrier.
Keywords: foresight, emerging trends, wild card, horizon of foresight, economic entities, weak signals, Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, AZRF, socio-economic development.
Highlights:
♦ in economics, the horizons of the future are considered an unquantifiable quantity, but foresight tools make it possible to give economic meaning and a reasonable explanation to plans for socio-economic development;
♦ the practical expediency is seen in the fact that emerging trends can serve as an object of targeted influence of stakeholders;
♦ the scenario of the socio-economic development of the Russian Arctic becomes a formed reality largely under the influence of the will, desires and actions of economic entities in the group.
Yuri Yu. Fedorov - Northeastern Federal University named after M.K. Ammosov, Yakutsk, Russia