ANALYSIS AND FORECAST ASSESSMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL INVESTMENTS IN THE MAIN CAPITAL IN RUSSIA
The relevance of the chosen research topic is urgent since there is the need to implement a forecast estimate of investment in fixed assets aimed at implementing environmental protection measures, since only in conditions of a favorable investment environment it is possible to increase the competitiveness of regions, based on main-taining their economic stability and improving environmental safety. The purpose of the study is to analyze the time series and carry out a forecast estimate of investments in fixed assets, designed for environmental protec-tion and rational use of natural resources. The system and complex approaches, as well as statistical research methods, are used: statistical analysis methods, tabular and graphical methods, predictive method based on the trend model, methods for testing the quality of developed models based on statistical criteria of Student’s, Fisher’s, Durbin-Watson’s tests and others. The scientific novelty (originality) of the research is the formation of the information-methodical approach to the analysis of environmental investment in fixed assets and to their projected assessment for the period 2017-2018. The obtained results can serve as a foundation for the devel-opment of federal and territorial programs, as well as for the implementation of managerial decisions of the authorities at different levels in the sphere of socio-ecological and economic development.
Keywords: environmental investments, investment forecasting, quality of models.
Highlights:
• a dynamic approach to the measurement and analysis of environmental protection investment in fixed assets at the federal level is carried out;
• investment forecasting in fixed assets aimed at protecting the environment and rational use of natural resources is carried out;
• the quality of constructed models was tested on the basis of the statistical criteria of Student’s, Fisher’ s, Durbin-Watson’ tests.
Olga Ph. Chistik, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Samara State University of Economics.