THE ANALYSIS OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL GAP AND INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF RUSSIAN TELEPHONY


Semenychev V.K., Korobetskaya A.A., Kozhukhova V.N.

The article represents the comparative analysis and forecasting of statistical data on stationary and cellular telephony in Russia and the world, which characterize their investment attractiveness. The position and duration of the technological gap in communication technologies are calculated, and the saturation level of the cellular communications market is determined. The authors design a point forecast and a predictive interval up to 2025, the forecast error does not exceed 5%. The toolkit allows spreading to other areas of technology and economics. Keywords: stationary and cellular telephony, technological gap, saturation level, life cycle, modeling, forecast, investments.

Valeriy K. Semenychev, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Doctor of Economics, Professor; Anastasia A. Korobetskaya, Candidate of Economics, Associate Professor - Samara State University of Economics; Varvara N. Kozhukhova, Candidate of Economics, Associate Professor of Dimitrovgrad Engineering and Technology Institute, a branch of the National Research Nuclear University "MEPhi".


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