STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND PREDICTIONS OF MORTGAGE LENDING IN THE SAMARA REGION


Bakanach O.V., Danilin D.S.

The dynamics of the main indicators of the Samara regional mortgage market, including seasonal variations, is considered; a dynamic model of mortgage lending in the region with the release of the auto-regressive process is made. Based on this model the interval forecast of mortgage lending is made and possible scenarios of the mortgage market in Samara region in 2014 are assessed. Keywords: the residential mortgage loans market of the Samara region, the volume of mortgage lending, the dynamic model of mortgage lending in the region, the scenario capacity forecast of the mortgage lending market. Keywords: the residential mortgage loans market of the Samara region, the volume of mortgage lending, the dynamic model of mortgage lending in the region, the scenario capacity forecast of the mortgage lending market.

Olga V. Bakanach, candidate of Economics, Associate Professor; Dmitry S. Danilin, student. - Samara State University of Economics.


Download file (format pdf)»