STATISTICAL ESTIMATION AND ECONOMETRICS MODELLING OF INVESTMENT PROCESS IN REGION


Chistic O.F.

The choice should be done on a method based on the dynamic rows from the all forecasting methods. The others forecasting methods reflect some specific aspects of research. The usage of abovementioned methods presume the study of inflation processes in Использование названных the методов предполагает и изучение Russian economy. The basis of economic modeling of physical volume of investments in Samara region is parabola with the following characteristics of the central variant: the speed of changing of investment growth temps is 10,2% per year; speeding-up the physical volume of investments index-0,55%; inflection is appeared in 1999 year. The volume of investments in region according to central variant of forecast will reach in 2011 year the rates of 1990. It is late for two years.

Olga F. Chistic. PhD in Economics, Professor of Statistics department of Samara State University of Economics.


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