APPLICATION OF THE FORSIGHT METHOD IN FORECASTING DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL INNOVATIVE ENTREPRENEURSHIP


Nikolenko Ju.V.

The article represents advantages of using the foresight technique in forecasting the development of small innovative entrepreneurship. Clear guidelines for the future of small innovative entrepreneurship in Russia increase the opportunity to activate and increase the effectiveness of scientific and technical activities of the business sector, which will ensure the competitive position of the Russian economy in the world arena. The method of foresight allows long-term forecasting of scientific and technological development of small innovative entrepreneurship using expert opinion. Foresight as a whole group of methods for a long-term forecasting of small innovative entrepreneurship is focused on global issues of innovation development of entrepreneurship, that is, this method is characterized by its wide scale. The advantage of using the foresight technique in forecasting the development of small innovative entrepreneurship is the possibility of forming scenarios for the development of this economic sector, on the basis of which it is necessary to choose the vector of state regulation of small innovative entrepreneurship in the most successful direction for the development of the entrepreneurial initiative. A problematic aspect of the foresight methodology in the conditions of functioning of the modern Russian economy is the insufficiently stable economic situation both inside the country and in the world, which can provoke a sharp change in the vector of budget, tax, innovation and other components of the state economic policy. The purpose of the article is to characterize the advantages of using the foresight technique in forecasting the development of small innovative entrepreneurship. Keywords: road maps, small innovative entrepreneurship, forecasting, development strategy for small innovative entrepreneurship, research and development, science intensive activities, foresight.

Julia V. Nikolenko, a post-graduate student. – The Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Orel branch.


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