MACROECONOMIC MODELS AND REGIONAL FORECASTING METHODS
Basic principles of building regional macroeconomic models are revealed that make it possible to allay methodological limits of macroeconomic modeling, which dont allow using well-known macro-economic models for the purposes or regional forecasting. The macroeconomic model of regional economics is developed by the authors based on the formulated principles. The model is presented as a management system, which consist of 3 interconnected elements: the model of reproductional process, the model of potential possibilities and the model of economic agents’ behavior. Forecast-ing-analytical technologies are implemented on the developed model: situational forecasting and assessment of goals achievement.
Gabibulla R. Khasaev, Doctor of Economics, Professor, the Head of Regional Economics, State and Municipal Governance Department; Vladimir A. Tsybatov, Doctor of Economics, Professor. - Samara State University of Economics.